Largely, this crime fighting messaging has been successful because poll after poll has shown that Americans believe the Republican Party is much stronger on crime than the Democrats.
But is this true? Like so many of the assumptions Americans make about the Republicans, it is, in statistical fact, dead wrong. (see: Homicide Rate. Crime in the United States, Uniform Crime Reports, FBI) Over the last fifty plus years, the rate of homicide has been HIGHER under 28 years of Republican administrations—the “law and order” folks -- than it has been under the Democrats -- a full 1.2 percent higher. For every one hundred thousand Americans, there have been 7.9 homicides under Republicans and 6.7 under Democrats.
The crime wave that swept across America during the seventies and eighties was presided over by several Republican presidents. Richard Nixon came to office, promising to be “the law and order president” but his administration saw a rapid increase in crime that peaked at the end of his years in the White House. When Nixon left office in disgrace, after having presided over perhaps the most corrupt administration in history, at that point, the crime rate was at an all-time high, 9.8 per 100,000 Americans, in 1974.
That crime rate soared until the nineties when Bill Clinton, a Democrat, became president. At the end of Clinton's last year in office, crime had fallen a full 42 per cent.
And who was the greatest crime fighting president of the past fifty years? That would be Barack Obama, under whose administration, crime fell to its lowest levels on record.
Why then, do Americans believe the lie that Republicans always protect them and Democrats always put them at risk? In a word or two, the answer is messaging. The Republicans have always expressed a solid and unified message when it comes to crime and criminals, and they are relentless in voicing that hard-as-nails, tough-on-crime image, even if it's just a fictional concoction of K Street public relations firms. It's the message Americans want to hear and focus groups don't lie, right? The Democrats have always tended to take a back seat when it came to the crime issue and they've pretty much allowed the Republicans to bluster their way through the Congress and the Presidency with phony, hyped-up (mostly impossible-to-deliver) promises about fighting various "wars" on crime.
The crime statistics seem to prove one thing: If you want to see your State and City crime numbers go down, don't elect Republicans to fight the battle. They're just not very good at it.